My advantage-play philosophy over the last
few years has been to use the come-out portion of each hand as its own
stand-alone profit-center. In other words, I use the come-out cycle as a
sort of “game-within-a-game” in order to generate revenue that is separate
and distinct from the point-cycle itself.
Let me show you what I mean…
My Rightside-Shooting Come-Out Strategy
My objective is simple; I want to make as
much advantage-play profit from my come-out (C-O) shooting as I can.
For that, I start out with the
Straight-Sixes (S-6) dice-set in its traditional World-heavy
arrangement (6/6 on the top faces, 5/2 on the surfaces facing you, with
3/4 on the side-axles around which the 6/6, 5/2, 1/1 and 2/5 primary-faces
rotate).
As a result, the on-axis possibilities for
the S-6 dice-set are:
Outcome |
Straight-
Sixes
On-Axis
Combinations |
On-Axis
Appearance-
Percentage |
On-Axis
Appearance-Rate |
2 |
1 |
6.25% |
1-in-16 |
3 |
2 |
12.50% |
1-in-8 |
4 |
1 |
6.25% |
1-in-16 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
2 |
12.50% |
1-in-8 |
7 |
4 |
25.00% |
1-in-4 |
8 |
2 |
12.50% |
1-in-8 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
1 |
6.25% |
1-in-16 |
11 |
2 |
12.50% |
1-in-8 |
12 |
1 |
6.25% |
1-in-16 |
Now clearly, those perfect-world percentages
will be affected by not only how often you can keep the dice
on-axis, but also how often you throw
primary-face outcomes versus double-pitches or single-pitches in
either on-axis direction. So the actual
on-axis appearance-percentages for your own tosses will vary
widely depending upon your current
dice-influencing skill-range and consistency.
A Word About Payout Ratios
Most of you already know this, but different
casinos in different areas often have different payout schedules
for their prop-bets.
Ø
Those that offer 31-to-1
payouts on the 2 and 12, and 16-to-1 payouts on the 3 and 11; are said
to
offer “downtown Odds” since all of the casinos in Downtown Las Vegas offer
those types of payout.
Ø
On the other hand, casinos
that offer 30-to-1 payouts on the 2 and 12, and 15-to-1 payouts on the
3 and 11; are said to use “Strip-Odds” since
most of the casinos on the Las Vegas Strip use these
lower payout ratios when those
prop-bets hit.
In this article, we’ll assume that your
casino pays out with Strip-Odds. If your home casino pays the more
attractive Downtown-Odds, then all the
better.
At the end of this piece, I’ll give you an
easy-to-copy cheat-sheet to quickly and accurately calculate your
World-bet payouts no matter how high they
climb and no matter which payout-ratio your casino uses.
Gaining Perspective About the World-bet
Let’s take a wide-angle view of the S-6
dice-set in relation to the World-bet:
Ø
The 7 constitutes 6-out-of-36
random outcomes, and that is where we get its oft-cited 1:6 appearance-
ratio from.
Ø
The 2, 3, 11 and 12 also
constitute 6-out-of-36 total random outcomes, and therefore those four
numbers combine to produce the
same 1:6 appearance-ratio that the 7 enjoys.
When we add the Horn-numbers (2, 3, 11 and
12) to the Any-7 wager, we get the “World-bet”. Although the
W-B has an overall 1-in-3 random probability
of hitting during any given roll, it is still a tough bet to make a
consistent profit on.
It is important to note…
The World-bet wager carries a hefty
13.33% house-edge against it, and therefore should be avoided by all
random-rollers as well as all
dice-influencers who haven’t yet built up a high enough skill-level to
overcome
that high-vig hurdle.
So why should an adequately skilled
dice-influencer even consider making such a difficult bet?
Well, it can yield tremendous value for
those who can hit it, and it can produce outstanding profit
for those
who can hit it multiple times in a row.
I personally use a portion of the profit
generated by those back-to-back-to-back World-bet wins to fuel ever-
larger WB-wagers…while concurrently
locking up an ever-growing amount of retained profit.
Most importantly, I use it to reliably add
additional money to my session buy-in before my first Passline-Point
is even established; and in doing so, it
establishes a very positive tone for the rest of that particular
hand.
Your World-bet payout-possibilities look
like this:
Ø 7
pays even-money on the Passline and is self-sustaining for your World-bet.
For a $5 Passline-bet
and a $5 World-bet, that outcome nets
you a $5 profit.
Ø 11
pays even-money on the Passline and pays 15:1 on the World. However, the
other four bet-
components of the World lose, so they have
to be replaced for your World-bet to remain in place.
In total, that outcome produces a
net-profit of $16.
Ø
3 also pays 15:1 on the World,
but your Passline bet loses as do the other four bet-components of the
World. After replacing your $5 Passline-bet, this outcome nets you a profit
of $6.
Ø
2 pays 30:1 on your World-bet,
however your Passline bet loses as do the other four bet-components
of the World. After replacing your $5
Passline-bet, this outcome produces a net-profit of $21.
Ø
12 also pays 30:1 on your
World-bet, and as with the 2-Snake Eyes or 3-Ace-Duece/Trey; your
Passline bet loses as does the other
four bet-components of the World. After replacing your $5
Passline-bet, this outcome
produces a net-profit of $21.
As I said, the World-bet can yield
tremendous value for those who can hit it multiple times in a row.
In a moment I’ll show you how I use a
portion of the profit generated by those back-to-back-to-back World-bet
wins to fuel ever-larger pressed-up
WB-wagers…while concurrently locking up the ever-growing amounts of
profit that I was just talking about.
Most importantly, I’ll show you how skilled
dice-influencers use the World-bet to reliably add tangible profit to
their session buy-in before their
first Passline-Point is even established.
However before we do that, let me add
another word of caution:
Ø
Please DO NOT use ANY
of my betting-methods without first validating them while using YOUR
OWN
sufficiently-sized roll-tracking
performances to verify and confirm your own positive dice-influencing
advantage before finally
factoring in your own bankroll and bet-making comfort levels.
Ø
It is your money and
your responsibility to determine whether or not ANY
betting-method is right for
you, your bankroll and your
dice-throwing skills. I urge you to use the utmost caution when you are
trying
out any new method or
betting-approach for the first time.
Okay, let’s take a look at what I do and how
I do it:
How I Bet the Come-Out Cycle
Using the Straight-Sixes (S-6) dice-set, I
wager so that my PL-bet equals my C-O World-bet. That is, if I’ve
got a $25 wager on the Passline; then I’ll
also make a $25 World-bet (aka “whirl” bet) during the come-out.
The World-bet covers the 7, 2, 3, 11 and 12
with one $5 betting-unit on each.
If I’ve got $50 on the Passline, then
obviously my $50-World would cover each of those prop-bets with $10 on
each. Similarly, if you’ve got $5 on the
Passline, and you have $5 on the World-bet, it means you have the 7,
2, 3, 11 and 12 covered with $1 on each.
The S-6 set also contains both an on-axis
Hard-Four (H-4) and a Hard-Ten (H-10). If I’m shooting as a
Darksider, I want to avoid the
C-O 7 so I’d set two of the primary-faces on the H-4 and H-10, while the
other
two faces are set for aces (2), and boxcars
(12)…and bet the Hard-4 and Hard-10 working on the Come-Out.
However, as a Rightside-shooter, I
WANT to see a lot of C-O winner-7’s; so instead of shooting for come-out
Hardways, I set the two other primary-faces
on the 2/5 and 5/2 in anticipation of additional 7-winners.
Ø
If my Rightside C-O roll
produces a primary-face 7-winner...then my World-bet stays at its initial
$25
value, and I maintain my $25 PL wager
at its original value…and I rack the $25 profit.
If a 7-winner rolls on the C-O, the
World-bet is self-sustaining in that it is a “push” (no gain and no loss),
so
there is no need to replace it as you would
if it was a simple Horn-bet.
Ø
On one hand, with the single
on-axis appearance of the 2 (1/1) and 12 (6/6), along with the double
appearance of the 3 (1/2 and 2/1), I
do have to replace my flat PL-bet if any of those three numbers
show up.
Ø
On the other hand, if either
of the two on-axis 11’s (5/6 and 6/5) show up, they offer a quinella-type
double-dipping win where both the high-ratio
(15:1) World-bet portion of my wager pays, as does the
even-money (1:1) payout on the
Passline.
Like I said; with the high-ratio payouts on
each of those Horn-numbers (15:1 on the 3 or 11, and 30:1 on the 2
or 12); the sting of having to replace your
PL bet if a 2, 3 or 12 shows up, is partially offset with the double-
dipping payoff (collecting from both the
prop Yo-11 as well as the Passline) if an 11 appears.
Here’s how I book my bet-presses after I get
my first World-number outcome:
Ø
Assuming a $25 starting bet on
both the Pass-line and the World-bet; if the first outcome is an 11, I
double my World-bet to $50, and
maintain the same initial $25 bet for my PL-wager. That means that
the Yo-11 part of
the World-bet (along with the even-money PL payment) generates a net-profit
(after my World-bet is pressed) of $55.
Ø
If my come-out roll produces a
3 ...I keep the World-bet at its initial level and I replace my PL-wager.
That means that my first hit on a 3
generates a net-profit of $30.
Ø
If the outcome is a 2 or 12...I once again
double my World-bet to $50, and of course I replace my PL-
bet with another $25. That means
that a 2 or 12 generates a net-profit (after the World-bet is pressed
and my PL-bet is replaced) of
$105.
Though that’s not a perfect-world scenario,
I have found that the S-6 come-out set produces some pretty
astounding net-profit, especially if
I bring in back-to-back-to-back Horn-number repeaters.
Take a look:
On the very next C-O decision...
Ø
If the outcome is a 7...I keep
the same bet for both the World and the PL. If the World is at $50, then it
stays at $50, but I almost always keep my PL
base-bet at $25 no matter how large the World-bet
grows. That
is, if I start out my session with $25 PL wagers, I rarely raise them based
solely on the
number of Come-out PL-winners
that I am throwing.
Ø
If on my second Come-Out roll
during the same hand, the outcome is a 3...I replace the PL and
increase the World-bet by one $25
unit.
Ø
If the outcome is an 11...I
increase my current World-bet by two more base-units (of $25 each), but I
still keep the same initial $25 bet on
the PL.
Ø
If the outcome is a 2 or
12...I increase my current World-bet by three base-units (a $75 increase).
In a moment I’ll show you a chart of exactly how I do this, but the
press-schedule I use is pretty straight-
forward.
Ø
On any subsequent Horn-payers,
I simply add one additional unit to the previous press-scale.
In other words…
Ø
I press the World with a
further two-unit ($50) increase if the 3 rolls.
Ø
I press the World with a
further three-unit ($75) increase if the 11 rolls.
Ø
I press the World with a
further four-unit ($100) increase if the 2 or 12 rolls.
As I mentioned a moment ago, I rarely
increase my flat Passline wager based solely on the number of Come-
out PL-winners that I am throwing. That is,
if I start out with $25 on the PL, I rarely increase it during the
Come-out cycle. Here’s why:
Ø
The required replacement of a
lost PL line-bet (if a 2, 3 or 12 rolls), has less and less
significance as
your World-bet action increases
during any given hand.
Ø
That means that the
Horn-numbers will produce more net-profit by my not having to replace
the lost
Passline wager with an increased
amount of money (due to any pressed-up wagers I may have made
on the PL) when a 2, 3, or 12 rolls.
Ø
As the size of my World-bet
grows and my Passline bet remains the same as it did when I first
started
the hand; any subsequent pressed-up
World-bet wins produce more net-profit.
Ø
In other words, if I increase
my PL-bet by the same $25 increases as I do to the World-bet; then any
Horn-winner profit generated by the 2, 3, or
12 will be reduced by the increased losses incurred by my
pressed-up PL wager. That
would result in less overall net-profit from my C-O shooting…clearly not a
good thing.
Ø
If I roll another Horn-hit, I
do the same "add one unit to the previous scale" thing to my
World-bet, but
again the Passline remains at its starting
value, and so…
Ø
I press the World with a
further three-unit increase if the 3 rolls.
Ø
I press the World with a
further four-unit increase if the 11 rolls.
Ø
I press the World with a
further five-unit increase if the 2 or 12 rolls.
Time For Another Caution…
If you are a green-chip bettor who is starting out with $25 or higher
World-bets and using this type of
aggressive World-bet pressing; then in some
low loss-tolerance casinos, you are likely to quickly reach their
sweat-threshold nearly every time the dice
come around to you…and that is NOT a good thing.
Ø
That situation is not only bad
for you, but it can also be bad for other dice-influencers who play
in that
same casino after you, even if
they use a lower starting-bet and a milder bet-press schedule.
Ø
You have to carefully pick and
choose the casinos where you pull this sort of aggressive World-bet
gambit. There is absolutely no need
or reason to kill the golden goose.
Ø
Many players who think they
are “sticking it to the casinos” by winning super-large bets on the
Props in
low win-tolerance houses; are in fact
sticking it to themselves and to their fellow dice-influencers.
Ø
Instead of living just for the
money you can draw from one place today; you have to play in a manner
that recognizes the fact that there
just may be a tomorrow.
You and your fellow dice-influencing
community citizens may want to drink from that very same well-of-profit at
some future point. There’s no sense
poisoning the waters now just because can fill up your glass today.
There are many tomorrows where you may want
to have another profitable drink from the same fount, and if
you’ve poisoned that house (and every other
casino in the same corporate-chain); then you are only harming
yourself and all others who will come after
you.
Again you have to carefully gauge how
bet-tolerant a casino is, and then make a conscious decision NOT
to
surpass that point. Take some
responsibility for yourself and the well-being of the entire
dice-influencing
community…there could very well be a
new day that actually dawns tomorrow, and it just makes sense to
preserve yourself a place at the tables.
In other words, don’t destroy today what
you may need tomorrow.
The W-B Pressing Continues…
My next bet-press (if another Horn-number in
my World-bet rolls again), looks like this:
Ø
I press the World with a
further four-unit increase if the 3 rolls.
Ø
I press the World with a
further five-unit increase if the 11 rolls.
Ø
I press the World with a
further six-unit increase if the 2 or 12 rolls.
At this point, your World-bet could very well reach the $500 mark (using $25
base-units) if you’ve had the C-O
results that see you using the maximum
unit-increase on each one of those steps (especially if the 2 or 12 has
been rolling), and this is also the point
where you will very likely reach the maximum allowable payout level at
many casinos.
Since some houses restrict the maximum allowable Prop-bet payout to a
certain amount; you’re likely not
going to be allowed to raise your
World-action much beyond this point at some casinos. It’s always a good
idea to find out the maximum allowable
prop-bet amounts beforehand.
Here’s what my bet-presses look like in
chart form:
Press-Schedule for
WORLD-bet
Depending on the outcome,
increase World-bet by this multiple: |
Hit |
3 |
11 |
2 |
12 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
8 |
On the first hit for example, I increase my
World-bet from $25 to $50 if the 11 shows up, and I increase it to
$75 if the 2 or 12 shows up. On the other
hand, if the 3 appears on my first World-bet hit, then I leave it at
$25.
If a 7 rolls at any time during the
Come-out, I don’t count that as a hit as far as my W-B bet-presses are
concerned. I simply rack the $25 profit
that the Passline-win generates and I leave the World-bet as is.
On the second Horn-number hit, I let the
outcome determine how much my World-bet is pressed by. For
example, if a 2 or 12 rolls, then I increase
my W-B by three $25 units ($75), but only two $25 units ($50) if the
11 rolls, and I only press it by one $25
unit if the 3 rolls.
With each subsequent Horn-number outcome
during the Come-Out, I simply add one unit to that schedule.
For example, after my third Horn-number hit;
if a 2 or 12 rolls, I now increase my W-B by four $25 units ($100),
or three $25 units ($75) if the 11 rolls,
and I press my W-B by just two $25 units ($50) if the 3 rolls.
Let’s take a look at how this works if you
start out with a $5 World-bet:
Press-Schedule for
WORLD-bet
Using $5
base-units, press the World-bet by: |
Hit |
3 |
11 |
2 |
12 |
1 |
$5 |
$10 |
$15 |
$15 |
2 |
$10 |
$20 |
$30 |
$30 |
3 |
$20 |
$35 |
$50 |
$50 |
4 |
$35 |
$55 |
$75 |
$75 |
5 |
$55 |
$80 |
$105 |
$105 |
6 |
$80 |
$110 |
$140 |
$140 |
7 |
$110 |
$145 |
$180 |
$180 |
Striking a Bet-Press Balance
Clearly, I like hitting back-to-back-to-back
World-bet winners. By using a portion of those winning payouts to
press-up my W-B action, any subsequent
World-bet winners produce an ever-growing abundance of
revenue. At the same time, I am careful to
make sure I retain a decent portion of that just-won money as
locked-in profit.
The press-schedule I use for the World-bet
strikes a balance between reinvesting some of my winnings in the
very next roll, and setting aside some
of it as locked-in profit. I came to that resolution after much trial-and-
error experimentation where I erred too much
in one direction or the other.
The bet-press schedule
that I’ve outlined today, works for me; but it may not work best for you.
Carefully
consider any bets
before you make them.
WORLD-bet Payout Table
for STRIP-Odds and
DOWNTOWN-Odds |
World-Bet Value |
15-to-1
3
or 11
pays |
30-to-1
2
or 12
pays |
16-to-1
3
or 11
pays |
31-to-1
2
or 12
pays |
$5 |
$11 |
$26 |
$12 |
$27 |
$10 |
$22 |
$52 |
$24 |
$54 |
$15 |
$33 |
$78 |
$36 |
$81 |
$20 |
$44 |
$104 |
$48 |
$108 |
$25 |
$55 |
$130 |
$60 |
$135 |
$30 |
$66 |
$156 |
$72 |
$162 |
$35 |
$77 |
$182 |
$84 |
$189 |
$40 |
$88 |
$208 |
$96 |
$216 |
$45 |
$99 |
$234 |
$108 |
$243 |
$50 |
$110 |
$260 |
$120 |
$270 |
$75 |
$165 |
$390 |
$180 |
$405 |
$80 |
$176 |
$416 |
$192 |
$432 |
$100 |
$220 |
$520 |
$240 |
$540 |
|