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Newsletter October 2015

It's More Fun When You Are Winning!

Volume 15 : Issue 10

 

In This Edition:

Soft Touch Says

Ed's Answer to a Reader

Who Ya Gonna Call?

 
Soft Touch Says -

Chip Racking

Before entering any craps game in any casino, I always watch the play before placing a bet. With that stated, I generally chart the table with pen and paper to look for trends as our friend the "7" cycles around. The first six, twelve and eighteen rolls speak volumes about the table conditions. This information lets me know how best to approach a specific playing opportunity.

Now I recognize that many players just don't find charting with pen and paper that appealing or comfortable. However, even if players do not subscribe to the practice of charting, there are other tools at the table to help keep track of what is going on.

In our Dice Busters workshops we teach a number of ways to use your chips as a tracking tool. Tracking allows you to see what the table is doing. Is it hot or cold? Are there any noticeable trends? One very simple tracking method that will give you a sense of what the table is doing is as follows:

When you exchange your cash for chips, allow for the inclusion of extra chips in two different denominations such as white and red chips. Separate these chips from the rest of your bankroll. At the craps table, you have two racks for your chips. Use the rack directly in front of you for tracking purposes.

Your plan is to rack these chips in an arrangement by color that corresponds to the pattern of the roll decisions. For me, the red chips represent don't pass and the white represent the pass. When a shooter completes their point, rack a white chip. When a shooter seven's out, rack a red chip. As you begin racking and tracking what is going on between the seven cycles, you will be able to see how the table is either completing its points or trending toward cold.

Simply racking seven to ten decisions with chips will give you some very useful information. More consecutive reds will prove to be devastating for a pass line player. Wouldn't it be far better to know this information before playing the pass line?

This also helps players remain disciplined in an indirect way. It forces them to keep their hands busy tracking, rather than tossing the chips on to the table due to the subconscious pull to play as quickly as they can, without any consideration for table conditions.

Always recognize that you have a choice of betting approaches. Knowing the table conditions before you start betting will greatly benefit your overall game.

Remember, there is no single playing approach or system that is right for all table conditions. Therefore, a willingness to gather as much information about the game in the moment of play and being a flexible player once you have gathered your information, will pay you chips far more often than not.

Happiness is a long roll,
Soft Touch
 

 

Hi Ed,

The following link on your website presents the most logical, statistical and compelling case I've read on dice setting since I began conducting some internet research on the subject.  

Having said that, I'm confused on the axis concept.  It is describe well, but in the "straight 6 set" assuming one threw on "perfect axis", wouldn't either of the following sets appear; (6,6 - 2,2 - 1,1 - or 5,5) instead of the statistical and desirable (7 - 11) on the come out? 

What am I missing?  I certainly agree this is the preferred set as opposed to much touted "all 7's set", but again, if the shooter delivers the dice on the "perfect axis", wouldn't that be the theoretical set to go with? 

Thank you for any clarification you can provide. 

Sincerely,
Charles

3/4-3/4 (straight 6's) # of  results:

1

2

1

0

2

4

2

0

1

2

1

Possible outcomes:

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

Hi Charles, Yes, and thank you, Heavy does present a nice explanation on this page.

I think that you are missing all possible outcomes with the set. Unless I am not getting your question. Sure if the dice fall and stay exactly as set and on axis, your statement is correct. Neat trick to do. However, what dice setting is about, regarding the theory of on axis shooting, is reducing the possible outcomes from the random 36 to just 16 possible, assuming an on axis toss. 

So, grouping four 7’s and two 11’’s provide 6 out of 16 possible results. Grouping the primary faces, 6/6, 5/5, 2/2, 1/1 provides 4 out of 16. Simplified, the 7 and11 combined have a probability of occurring 3:8 or three out of eight events. Compared this to the four pairs at 1:4 or one out of four events. Perhaps look at the percents, 37.5% compared to 25%. 

The consideration for this set when used for a come out roll are all the craps numbers that can result, 25% of the outcomes. 

Everyone has their reasons for using the set they prefer. What is the expectation for using the straight six set? That is to ask, what is the shooter hoping for as a resulting outcome on a come out roll, that will make money when the dice come to rest? 

Understanding the math helps a savvy player to know that the casino has every angle figured, even if a player could actually “control” the dice for every outcome, which they cannot. Theory has more to do with “influence”, not so much control.

Hope this helps you Charles.


Ed Jones

Editor / ed@dicesetter.com

 

Hi Ed:  Yes, all your assumptions about understanding my questions are correct. Thank you for the favor of your reply. 

Regards, Chas...in Houston

 

 

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