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Creating More
Shooting Opportunities
For
the savvy advantage-player, creating more shooting opportunities is almost as
important as maximizing each profit opportunity every time you pick up the dice. The
two go hand in hand. The
better you get at this dice-influencing craft, the more often youll want to shoot
the dice, and with each new turn, youll want to squeeze out maximum profitability. As
we discussed in
Parts Two and Three
of this series, playing at a higher-denomination table can hold quite a bit of merit if
you are mentally and financially prepared. If
Youre Good Enough
Then Invest In YOURSELF
Sooner
or later, a skilled shooter asks himself: If
my shooting is good enough to make money during my own hands on a five-buck
table, yet I lose back all or most of it on random-rollers while waiting for the dice to
circulate around; then wouldnt that same money be better spent strictly betting on
MY OWN shooting at the fifteen-buck table? If
your dice-influencing is good enough to make sustainable money off of your own shooting;
then it makes sense to invest more in yourself while concurrently avoiding as many
non-advantage wagers as possible. If
that means moving up to the higher-denomination tables in order to force yourself to give
up as much random-roller betting as possible; then for the adequately bankrolled player it
can make enormous sense
as well as enormous profit. Your
validated skills, your disciplined judgment and your tailored-to-bankroll bet-levels are
the tools that let you earn what your talents deserve, WITHOUT putting you and your money
at undue risk. If
your validated skills justify it, then it is your obligation and your responsibility to
invest in yourself. Equally, one of your primary tasks as a Precision-Shooter, is to
reduce all of your NON-advantage wagering down to an absolute minimum. Put
Your Money Where Your Advantage Is
Heres
why frequent shooting for the talented dice-influencer makes so much sense:
Ø
Avoiding
tables that are full of random-rollers, means that the skilled player will get to throw
the dice more often.
Ø
The
more a skilled player avoids betting on random-rollers, the less exposure he has to the
house-edge and bankroll-shredding volatility of the random game.
Ø
Since
his bankroll is still intact from RR-avoidance, the talented dicesetter remains in a
better position to take advantage of and to bet assertively into his own good
rolls.
Ø
It
also means that the Precision-Shooter is more than likely to be the one who generates the
medium-to-HOT rolls in the first place, and because he knows his shooting-skills most
intimately; he is more likely to clue into a superior betting-opportunity when it does
come along.
Ø
Equally,
because he is shooting more often, hes likely to realize much sooner whether or not
his current shooting is zoned in and whether it is good enough to even warrant being at
the higher-priced table in the first place.
Ø
Since
he hasnt wasted his money on random-losing bets, he is almost always in better
financial shape to take advantage of his own sharp shooting. Dealing
With High-Ticket Anxiety
Many
skilled players have the ability, aptitude and capability to unleash their considerable
Precision-Shooting talents on pretty much any table they walk up to. Now that doesnt mean that theyll win
every time they pick up the dice, but it does mean that theyll win more than they
lose at most sessions and they have the good sense to retain the lions share of
their self-made profit instead of pissing it away on non-qualified rollers.
Many
players start to feel nervous, uneasy and overly anxious when they encounter a
higher-priced table. They are in their comfort-zone at the $5 table, and though they
might sometimes play at a $10 one if the joint is full and its the only game in
town; their blood-pressure and stress-pressure rises to a level where it definitely starts
to affect their shooting skill.
For that player, a
higher-priced table is not the answer until they get the mental and
financial aspects of their game under as much control as their low-cost shooting.
They understand that their shooting-skill is one thing, but their tolerance for
risk is something completely different. That is perfectly understandable, and of
course it is perfectly acceptable for them to continue playing at lower-priced tables
until they are better prepared to step it up a notch or two. If playing at a $15,
$25, $50, $100 or $500 table makes you more uncomfortable than you can reasonably deal
with, or it disturbs your shooting consistency more than you can reasonably control, then
DO NOT do it. I have absolutely no
problem telling you that I do not feel comfortable playing at the $500 tables that I
occasionally run into during some holiday weekends in Atlantic City
so I simply do
not play at them. If my shooting isnt already zoned in (as verified on a
cheaper table); then you are NOT going to be seeing me at a $50 or $100 table either. My ego doesnt
feel humiliated because I wont play at the Five-C level
my manhood
isnt called in to jeopardy
nor do I feel inferior just because Im not
relaxed enough to make half-a-G-rock bets (see MPs
Dictionary for other non-traditional casino jargon) at expensive layouts
like that. I only bet where I am comfortable and only at levels I am comfortable
with. I would strongly urge you to do the same. Bankroll Limitations It should go without
saying, but Ill say it again anyway
An
adequately-financed bankroll is crucial to your dice-influencing longevity and success. If
your casino-bankroll is under-funded, then there is no way you should be considering
playing at the more expensive layouts. In
fact, just the opposite
you should stay away from the casinos entirely
until you have accumulated enough money to comfortably fund your wagering activities
regardless of what level you normally play at. That
also means that you have to play with money that is yours and is discretionary. You
cant be playing with mortgage money or car-payment money, or money that youve
borrowed on your credit cards or any other nonsense like that. It means that you
have to play well WITHIN your financial means and NOT against future hoped-for earnings.
There are some
excellent articles on this site which discuss bankroll requirements that are tied to the
level of betting that you do. I would strongly urge you to study them carefully and
consider them in the soberest of deliberations before you even consider stepping up to a
higher bet-minimum table.
If
you arent making steady money off of your own shooting at the lower-priced tables
then you certainly arent going to be making money at the more expensive ones
either. Simply
throwing money at the problem is not the solution. Get
good at dice-influencing, THEN consider moving up to a higher snack-bracket.
Until then, keep the cost of your mistakes as small as possible. However,
if you ARE making steady money off of your own shooting, yet pissing it away through
impatience as you wait for the dice to make another lap around the table; then perhaps you
might consider raising the sperm-count on your own bets (while concurrently cutting way
back on your random-wagers) and moving over to the higher-priced layouts. Clearly, if we want to
control our random-roller betting, we have to control our patience, anxiety and
frustration while waiting for the dice to leisurely wend their way back to us.
Ø
Lower-population,
higher-minimum tables help that along by making the pain of random-roller losses more
evident
faster.
Ø
At
a high-buck table, your bankroll cannot sustain very many random-losses and thats
the way it should be.
Ø
Your
money is there to fuel advantage-play bets
NOT to fertilize and supplement the
casinos bottom-line. By
moving up to a lower-population, higher-denomination table; your actual money-making
capability is substantially boosted by making your advantage-play bets more
efficient through more frequent shooting opportunities, while at the same time putting you
in a self-imposed situation where you are forced to constrain your bets on pretty well
every other random-shooter. Putting
such severe self-imposed and self-restricted controls on you and your bankroll like that
may sound drastic, but when you add up all the money that youve been losing to
random-rollers and redeploy even a small portion of it onto your own verified
advantage-plays; then it makes absolute sense
and for the newly-disciplined
Precision-Shooter, it makes absolute PROFIT too. Do
you see that dead horse over there? Do you see this whip in my hand
If
You Can Afford ANY Random-Bets, Then You Can Afford MORE Advantage-Bets on
Yourself
Shooting
at high-priced (high minimum-bet) tables is one aspect of
dice-influencing that most players have an ongoing concern about.
In
many cases, it dissuades a lot of guys from playing. Theyd rather squeeze into
an overcrowded $5 table than to be one of three or four players at the $15 or $25 layout.
If
you can afford to be in a casino and you can properly finance your wagers; then ask
yourself:
Ø
How
much is it costing me in random-roller losses and self-created frustration to camp out at
the five-buck layout versus how much I WOULDNT be spending on ANY random-rollers if
I were at the thinly populated $15 table?
Ø
Now
compare that to how much you could make on your own good shooting in the same amount of
time at the low-population $15 or $25 table instead of waiting for the dice to cycle back
around at the cheaper but crowded $5 layout. Like
I said before, you have to have a discernable edge on the bets you are making at ANY table
(regardless of the price) in order to generate a sustainable income from this game, but
the question becomes one of:
Ø
Can
I make more money on my own shooting by getting the dice in my hands more often at the $15
or $25 table than Ill waste on all the random-bets that I make at the $5 one? In
the upcoming How
To GET It and How To KEEP It Part 12,
we look at how the cumulative amount of randomly-bet money that even one lightly wagered
lap around the table can cost, versus the comparatively puny amount of money that most
players actually bet on their own strictly-adhered-to advantage-bets. As
I mentioned previously, even the most talented of shooters are surprised to discover that
they are often betting more cumulative money on random-rollers than they are betting on
themselves. Its the CUMULATIVE amount of R-R bets that will often outpace your
own advantage-play wagers by a wide margin, even though the individual bets that you make
on any one random-roller may be considerably less than your average bet on
yourself. Its
often THE TOTALITY of your random-bets that play havoc with even the best dice-influencers
among us. If
you dont know the total amount of money that you are betting on random-rollers
during just one session, then you are doing yourself (and obviously your
retainable-profit) a HUGE disservice. Reducing
your overall random-bets reduces your overall risk. Increasing
your advantage-play bets increases overall profit. If
you can afford to make ANY random-roller bets while you are at the table then you can
afford to make MORE advantage-bets on yourself.
Let
me ask you this:
v
Are
your senses and shooting-skills more highly tuned when you play at a higher-minimum table?
v
Is
it easier to GET focused and STAY focused when you have more money on the line?
v
Does
your dice-shooting actually improve as you climb the bet-minimum ladder? For most skilled and accomplished
Precision-Shooters, the answer to that question is a resounding, YES! When
you have more money on the table at the beginning of your roll, it does tends to sharpen
your focus, increase your mental intensity and awareness, as well as ramping up your
physical acuity and dice-handling deftness. I
first experienced this phenomenon when I started using Steep Regressions as a way to lock
up an early profit. Having a larger amount of money on the layout brought a greater sense
of immediacy to EACH and EVERY roll of the dice that hadn't been there when I used
the more traditional "hit-three-or-four-paying-numbers-before-reaching-profitability"
approach. Now,
having said all of that, I want to quickly add that stepping up your bets BEFORE you step
up your dice-shooting skills is a recipe for disaster! I still advise everyone to perfect their
game and validate their Precision-Shooting skills and their Precision-BETTING methods on
the CHEAPEST table possible BEFORE moving up to the next snack-bracket. It will keep your
losses to a minimum, and your frustrations to their barest.
If
you think it's easy to lose a couple of hundred bucks on a cheap table; just wait until
you see how it can INSTANTLY VAPORIZE much larger bankrolls on a high-ticket layout!
However,
if you find that your focus is more intent, that the freshness of each new roll is exactly
as first-class as you want it to be, and that your on-axis, primary-face outcomes arrive a
little more frequently; then you have to consider how the psychology of playing at a
higher-denomination table is actually HELPING your game as well as your profitability. Sometimes
you have to force yourself to overcome your discipline woes:
Ø
If
you are more cautious at higher-min tables, especially when it comes to betting on
R-Rs, then making it PROHIBITIVELY expensive to bet on them (until your bankroll
forces you to wean yourself off of as much R-R betting as humanly possible); then it makes
absolute sense to move up to a more expensive table
especially if your own
Precision-Shooting currently justifies it too. Remember
if you arent betting with an advantage over the house, then the house has the
advantage over you. Youve
worked so hard to gain your dice-influencing edge, so why would you voluntarily give it
right back by making unnecessary negative-expectation wagers on unqualified
random-rollers? Heck,
how big of an edge do you think you have over the casino?
Be
honest with yourself. Are
you playing this game to enrich the casino or to enrich yourself? If
you are in this game to make money for yourself, and not improve the bottom-line of all
the casino-corporations; then you have to play and bet like you actually mean it.
Ø
If
that means you have to force yourself into situations where no one in their right mind
would be betting on random-rollers because the base-bet is prohibitively expensive, and if
thats the only way of breaking yourself of that nasty R-R habit, and your own
shooting is good enough to justify playing at a more expensive table
THEN DO IT. Obviously
I understand that most players wont even believe that this could work
much less
subscribe to the idea, but let me tell you this:
Ø
Those
players are the same ones that will piss and moan and squawk about how hard it is to
resist the urge to bet on random-rollers and how much it costs them as they wait for the
dice to cycle around the table
and how crowded the cheap tables are
but they
wont do anything about it, and they wont redeploy any of their Ive-got-gamble
R-R money as a self-invested positive-expectation undertaking into their own talents.
Its
no wonder so many good-enough-to-be-great dice-influencers fade into bankrupt oblivion.
It wasnt their shooting that led them there
it was their
betting. It
doesnt take courage to keep doing the same old thing and getting the same old losing
results and hoping all the while for better outcomes
it takes stupidity. That
may sound like a John Patrick rant, but the sad truth is that most aspiring
Precision-Shooters could make sustainable profit if they laid off all of their
random-wagering and only put their money on bets where they had developed a validated
substantial edge over the house. Will
most good-enough-to-be-great dice-influencers do that? Hell
no, but you dont have to be one of them!
Ø
If
you can positively influence the dice, then invest in yourself. Put your money where
your advantage is.
Ø
If
your shooting is good enough to make money on your own hands on a $5 table, but you lose
back most of it to random-rollers; then taking a portion of your bankroll that you would
normally waste on R-Rs and putting that same money on your own shooting at a more
expensive table will usually produce less frustration and better results.
Ø
Take
a close hard look at the cumulative amount of your R-R bets to determine whether they are
equal to or greater than your own advantage-play wagers (even though the individual bets
that you make on any one random-roller may be considerably less than the average bet you
make on yourself).
Ø
When
you add up all the money that youve been losing to random-rollers and redeploy even
a small portion of it onto your own verified advantage-plays; then it makes absolute
sense
and for the newly-disciplined Precision-Shooter, it makes absolute PROFIT too.
Ø
Remember
if
you can afford to make ANY random-roller bets while you are at the table then you can
afford to make MORE advantage-bets on yourself. Good
Luck & Good Skill at the tables
and in Life. The
Mad Professor
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