Dice Setter Precision Shooter’s Newsletter: March 2015

Volume 15 : Issue 3

Soft Touch Says –

My dear readers, is spring ever going to arrive, or is this the new spring? Really! The snow got so bad back east, people created web sites to sell their snow. What a snow job! Well, I suppose that was one way of disposing of it. The part that made me laugh…no guarantee upon delivery, after opening the box, that you would actually get Boston snow. Enough of winter laughs. Here’s part II from a reader who submitted his version of playing for casino comps. In the March newsletter, Juan’s “High Roller’s Secrets Part II ” completes his strategy for betting inside and become a casino VIP.

It is suggested, to anyone interested in using Juan’s “High Roller’s Secrets”, that they put in a good deal of practice time at home and then play on paper at the casino before engaging in live action, using his strategy. Confidence is essential and being comfortable with the play is crucial for survival and success. Thanks to Juan for sharing his information and his system for casino comps.

Although, Juan does receive full RFB at his favorite Las Vegas casino using his strategy described here, Dice Setter does not necessarily endorse Juan’s method for acquiring casino compensation for table game play.

Happiness is a long roll,

Soft Touch 

Juan’s “High Roller’s Secrets” Part II

Get rated for four hours of craps play by wagering for only thirty minutes.

First, I am going to restate all of the reasons why you should consider craps as the game you should choose to earn your RFB status. (Room, Food, Beverage)

1. Craps offers the lowest house odds against the player.
2. Craps is reasonably an easy game to play.
3. Craps is reasonably easy to evaluate for playing conditions.
4. If you use my wagering strategy, you will have a three to one ratio advantage for each individual wagering situation.
5. It is the easiest game of all for spot play. By spot play, I mean, putting money at risk for extremely limited amounts of time. On and off, in and out.
6. Craps gives you the ability to allow the other players to finance your playing time. By this, I mean, other people risk their money and keep the game going while you are out of action, waiting for your next betting opportunity.
7. Advanced techniques can be learned to place the advantage in the favor of the player.
8. Large wagering variations in advanced play never cause the casino personnel to place “heat” on your play. The casino’s view craps as a game of luck, not skill. Therefore a skilled player is not perceived as an enemy of the house bankroll.
9. Craps is a game of variations in the normal ratios of the numbers on the dice. During a hot roll, a skilled bettor can make very large wins.
10. If a table turns “cold”, you can sit out for these periods, keeping your money out of harms way, and yet, still get playing time credit from the casino, as long as you remain in the game. Note:This is the single most important concept for using craps to earn RFB benefits from the casino. You will ride out these periods of adverse conditions, keeping your money in your rack, watching and waiting for the table conditions to change. I am not saying, that you will be able to buy in, make one wager, for one roll of the dice, and then hang around for four hours expecting a rating slip that will earn you RFB status. This will not occur. However, if the table is cold or choppy, you can make as few as one wager every ten to fifteen minutes, and you will be fully rated for every hour you are at the game.

Note: Each casino will rate this style of play slightly differently. It is important to evaluate each casino’s rating style to determine which one you will make your “home” casino.

The only wager I use is the Place Bets. Specifically, I suggest you bet the inside numbers. You will bet the 5, 9, 6, and 8 simultaneously. This is called “placing the inside numbers”. So, when you want to make this bet, you will set your money into the Come area of the layout, and with your hand still resting on the money, state “$44.00 inside “, or “$154.00 inside”, or “$220.00 inside”. This will tell the dealer what your bet is, and the size of the bet. I have included a table at the end of the article showing a wide range of these wagers, and their respective unit payoff. If you do not understand the basic wagers in craps, I suggest you get the playbook “Do’s and Don’ts of Dice” to bring yourself up to speed about the basics of the game plus a lot more. (The playbook is available on Dicesetter.com web site.)

Until your dealer becomes familiar with your wagering style, be sure to announce “including the point” any time you make a wager and the shooter has established a point of 5, 6, 8, or 9. Note: Always bet all four numbers, and take them out of action as a team. Just think about the bets as your football team and you are their quarterback. You direct your team as to when you are going to try to attack the other team’s weakness.

Let’s look at the logic for this wager. There are a total of 36 combinations on a pair of dice. Of the 36 outcomes, eighteen combinations result in 5, 6, 8 or 9. This provides for a fifty percent chance, on any given roll, that one of the inside numbers will be rolled. (or not) There are six combinations that result in a seven. With place bets on the “inside numbers”, you will win when any of those numbers are rolled. Should a seven be rolled you will lose the entire wager. I refer to place betting the inside numbers as a “set-up”. I will use this term frequently. Each time you see “set-up”, I am referring to a wager on the 5, 9, 6, and 8, simultaneously. My strategy boils down to this: I place my set-up into action, and get one or two wins, per shooter. I like to call it a sniper strategy, one hit, maybe two, and then, I get my team out of harms way. Here are the rules to follow to accomplish this goal.

1. Wait until you see at least five rolls of the dice without a seven appearing.
   
2. When the current shooter has lost the dice to a seven out, you will be ready to wager on the next shooter.
   
3. If the new shooter throws a point on his or her come-out roll, you will immediately place the inside numbers 5, 9, 6, and 8. You will leave your wager active for only one or two rolls. If you hit a number on the first roll and are paid, you will immediately take your wager down. You will not make another wager on this shooter, unless the shooter makes the point and then rolls a seven during the come-out roll. You may then try for a second win with this shooter. Simply place bet the 5, 9, 6, and 8, for a second time. Note: If two rolls of the dice occur, any time you have your wager active, and you do not win on either roll, you will call your wager off. You will not make your wager active until a new shooter has established a point. The safest approach is for you to be satisfied with winning just one number (winning one of your bets) on each shooter. (Unless the specific game conditions mentioned here, in part three, occur.)
   
4. If a shooter rolls craps during any come-out roll, you must wait for a minimum of three rolls of the dice, before you call your wagers live. If additional craps rolls occur during any of those three subsequent rolls, you must add three rolls more, before considering calling your wager active. If a seven occurs during the three-roll count, and it is still a come-out roll, then the craps count is cancelled, and you will revert to rule #3 above, and play accordingly.
   
5. With each bet, you can experience a loss of a set-up wager to a seven out roll. If this happens, you will set aside four chips in your rack. These chips represent the number of individual wins you will need, in order, to recuperate your lost set-up. (Assuming that you continue to play and wager the same set-up amount.) Remove one chip each time you win a bet until you have recouped all four chips. This helps you keep track of where you are in the game. (Money management.)
   
   During catch up time, I recommend that you take one win per shooter and limit the exposure from a seven out. Never try for more than one win per set-up after you have had a loss, unless you have noted that three of your inside numbers (5, 9, 6, 8,) have occurred back to back. You can attempt to win more than one number if the shooter is throwing the inside numbers in a streak of at least 4 back to back. Let the frequency of sevens be your guide in making this decision. If you have noted a hand, rolled within the previous three shooters, that developed five or more inside numbers in a row, then this would be the time to try for a second and possibly third winning number. If you have not noted a strong grouping of inside numbers, I do not recommend making your set-up “live” after the fourth inside number is rolled. Wait to see how many more inside numbers may repeat and use this as your indicator on the next shooter.
   
   If the next shooter immediately begins to roll inside numbers, then you may catch a repeating event of a cluster of these numbers. This is where practice and time at the table will be invaluable to you. Practice will train your brain into being able to spot these types of situations. I will discuss practice in detail a little later.
   
6. Any time you lose a set-up to a seven out, you will not make another wager, until two shooters within three have rolled at least six rolls between sevens. You can simply count the numbers of rolls the shooter makes, and make a mental note if you get two out of three who have rolled at least the minimum of six rolls of the dice between sevens.
   
   Note: If the dice continue to roll with sevens appearing every two to three rolls, on average, and very few inside numbers roll back to back, you should consider leaving the game for a break, or ending the playing session at that point. Periods of high seven counts (averaging one seven for every two to three rolls) that extend over 40 rolls may indicate a game that will remain very difficult to play for extended time periods. This is why you will be much better off, to exit this type of game. If your home casino does not have another table open, which may offer better playing conditions, then this definitely would be a good time to take a two to three hour break.
   
7. If you lose two set-ups back to back, without winning a bet and you have followed rules one through six, table departure is indicated. Do not chase your losses. If you lose two set-ups in a row, this indicates that the game is deteriorating and the repeating numbers are not occurring. These conditions may continue for quite a while. If you do not have another table to consider, it is recommend that you “play on paper” or just watch. If you find that you can win “on paper” three consecutive times, as the game rules allow, then you might consider resuming play. At this point, your goal is to win eight numbers without a loss in order to recuperate the two lost set-ups.
   
   If you experience a third loss, you should definitely leave this game. The game is too choppy and may continue for an extended period. If you are unfortunate to not have any other games open at your home casino during this time, you will need to suspend play for at least one hour. Carefully evaluate the game conditions at this table one-hour later, to determine if conditions have improved.
   
8. The simple way to determine if you should enter any game is to watch the game for three or four shooters. You can buy-in while doing the observation. If shooters are making passes and the game seems to have a positive energy to it, then you are in position to begin the play. If the table seems to have low energy, and most players seem to be losing, you may still be able to play, but you must see shooters rolling at least three or more inside numbers (5, 6, 8, or 9) before the seven out. If this is the case, you may still engage play in a game like this. However, stop play immediately if you lose a set-up before being at least five units ahead.
   
9. Your goal is to keep your play conservative and to not lose a set-up. In real play this is very difficult to achieve. If you can win ten to eleven times for each set-up that is lost, you will make a decent profit using this method of play. When you are ahead by twelve units, you may consider increasing the level of your set-up by 25% to 50%. Should a loss occur at the increased level you would revert to you basic level of play. Should you be able to produce at least four wins at the increased level, you may wish to increase again by 25%. I do not recommend a more aggressive pressing plan until you have logged in forty or more hours of live play.
   
10. Keep an accurate record of the amount of time you play. You will want to log about four and one half hours of playtime, using this method of play to earn full RFB comps for each day of your stay. Once you have determined which casino you want to stay at, you can refer to the bankroll chart to determine how much money you will need to achieve your goal as a VIP player.
    
11. You must be patient!  At first, standing at a table for 15 or 20 minutes, without making a wager, may seem like an eternity. Remember, you are playing to complete a four hour session while risking your money for the least amount of time possible. The time factor needs to be accepted in order to make that three to one ratio advantage work to your benefit. 

The bankroll requirements listed are the minimum amount I recommend for each level of play. This gives you ten set-ups to invest. Larger set-ups would not really be needed, unless someone wanted to become classified as a premium player. Most of the major resort casinos, consider someone who wagers a $5,000 minimum bet for four hours per day to be in this league. Personally, my level is $220.

The neat thing is that this strategy will work at any level. It is critical that you determine your own comfort level for tolerance to risk. If you are not comfortable wagering $110 as one play, then you must seek a casino that will compensate you at a lower level of play.

Get into the habit of being rated at the craps tables, and ask for free meals at the very minimum. If you do not play for a full four-hour period to begin with, still ask for comp meals, or a reduced room rate, or free show tickets, etc. This strategy will work well for anyone who wants to really take advantage of the casinos RFB policies. There are some advanced concepts that can be added to your play later. Just the same, I am convinced that this method offers the most effective and least risky way to become a casino VIP.

If you make a couple of trips or more per year to any casino resort, receiving comps from the casino can drastically reduce the cost of your vacation. This can be particularly effective if you incorporate my method to earn those comps. You should break even at the very least, and if you are really carefully and follow my method, you can realistically expect to win money at the dice tables.

A final thought. Practice makes perfect. I recommend to anyone, who wants to pursue this gaming concept, practice first at home. Get yourself a pair of casino dice. Make a little box to throw the dice in. Purchase inexpensive green felt at a fabric store. You can use electrical tape to outline boxes on the felt and paint in the numbers 5, 6, 8, and 9. Next, get yourself a pen and notebook. Begin to throw the dice, follow the rules in my method, and record results. By practicing at home, you will become adept at incorporating the game rules I recommend. You can see for yourself how this can work for you. Then when you venture into the casino and risk real money, you will have the advantage of already experiencing how the method works.

You have something that very few of your fellow craps players have. You have a bonus plan. You understand exactly what you need to do to keep your losses to a minimum. You have a goal. You will be in control of your emotions, and you will be a disciplined player. You have an advantage in the game. The decision is yours to make. When to play and when not to play is up to you. You can evaluate the game in advance, and decide if the game presents a worthy opportunity for you to risk your money or not.

You are the driver of your destiny’s bus.You will not rely on luck. You will be playing to exploit the ebb and flow of the natural distribution of the sevens and the four inside numbers within the confines of the random outcomes of the rolls of the dice.

Remember: Eighteen combinations in your favor, verses six ways to roll a seven. Combined with a limited exposure to your money, you have a long-term ratio working for you. Good gaming! Have fun, relax, and play conservatively while the casinos roll out the red carpet for you!